TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 10:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Honduras and Suriname, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It considers different thresholds for goal differences to determine the result. The event is part of the official Concacaf Nations League competition, reflecting the competitive balance between the two national teams.
The event evaluates various goal-difference scenarios for the Honduras vs Suriname professional Concacaf Nations League soccer match scheduled for September 25, 2026. Resolution is based solely on regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time), with extra time and penalty kicks excluded. Four distinct outcome thresholds are considered: Honduras winning by more than 2.5 goals, Honduras winning by more than 1.5 goals, Suriname winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Suriname winning by more than 2.5 goals. Any market resolving to 'Yes' under these conditions will be deemed the final outcome, while all other scenarios resolve as 'No'. The rules clarify that Kalshi has no official affiliation with CONCACAF, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a relatively small number of experts, while this market aggregates opinions from many individuals. Therefore, discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or interpretations of the teams' strengths and weaknesses. It's common to see this market diverge from sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Honduras vs Suriname match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Honduras vs Suriname match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. The current price indicates the market’s expectation for the final spread in this game.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread of the Honduras vs Suriname match, as determined by official sources, will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the officially recorded point difference at the conclusion of the game. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect spread will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 26, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Honduras or Suriname team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected public endorsements or analysis from respected sports commentators could also contribute to price movements. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the teams’ relative strengths could cause the market to react and adjust its valuation of the potential spread.