TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Home dream alive — At least one host nation to reach Quarter-finals
limitless

Will at least one host nation reach the quarter-finals of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Volume:
$21,835

Home dream alive — At least one host nation to reach Quarter-finals

 - Limitless

Home dream alive — At least one host nation to reach Quarter-finals - Limitless

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 7, 2026

Closed: Jul 6, 8:00 PM EST

limitless

Limitless

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
limitless

Home dream alive — At least one host nation to reach Quarter-finals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$50
$21,835
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "YES" if at least one of Canada, Mexico, or the United States advances to the quarter-finals of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO". If at any point it becomes impossible for at least one of Canada, Mexico, or the United States to advance to the quarter-finals (e.g. all three are mathematically eliminated or knocked out), this market will resolve to "NO". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, 23:59 UTC, or the 2026 FIFA World Cup quarter-final matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "NO". The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA.com; however, if the data on the website is unavailable for 72 hours after the relevant matches are completed, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "YES" if at least one of Canada, Mexico, or the United States advances to the quarter-finals of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO". If at any point it becomes impossible for at least one of Canada, Mexico, or the United States to advance to the quarter-finals (e.g. all three are mathematically eliminated or knocked out), this market will resolve to "NO". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, 23:59 UTC, or the 2026 FIFA World Cup quarter-final matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "NO". The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA.com; however, if the data on the website is unavailable for 72 hours after the relevant matches are completed, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

The host nation quarter-finals market on Limitless tracks real-time odds and trading activity around whether at least one host nation will advance to the quarter-finals stage. The dashboard displays the current probability estimate, historical price movements, and 24-hour trading volume, giving traders a complete view of how the market is pricing this outcome. This market reflects collective trader sentiment on whether the tournament's host country or countries will achieve this milestone, updated continuously as new information and match results emerge.

Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets are driven by trader belief and financial commitment. For this market, prediction market participants may price in longer-term host nation performance trends and tournament dynamics that sportsbooks weight differently. Comparing the two can reveal where public betting sentiment differs from real-money trader conviction on whether a host nation reaches the quarter-finals.

On Limitless, this market is priced through continuous trading between buyers and sellers who stake capital on their belief about the outcome. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can buy shares representing a host nation reaching the quarter-finals or sell them, with the market price reflecting the aggregate probability. As new match results, team news, and tournament developments emerge, traders adjust positions, moving the odds up or down. The platform's order book mechanism ensures transparent price discovery and allows traders to enter or exit positions at any time before resolution.

This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, once the quarter-finals stage of the tournament is complete and the final participant list is confirmed. The outcome is determined by whether at least one host nation has successfully advanced to that stage. Resolution is verified against credible public sources covering the tournament, ensuring an objective and transparent settlement. Traders should monitor official tournament schedules and results as the event approaches to track progress toward resolution.

Key catalysts for this market include host nation match results, team injuries or roster changes, and head-to-head matchups in earlier rounds. Strong performances in group stages or knockout rounds will increase the probability of a host nation reaching the quarter-finals, while early eliminations will decrease it. Betting trends and media coverage of the host nation's prospects can also shift trader sentiment. Tournament upsets, coaching changes, or unexpected player availability will likely trigger sharp price movements as traders reassess the likelihood of this outcome.