TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,997,338
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,395,155,069
395,664
Markets across
30,076
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
This set of markets tracks how decisively Miami (OH) might win against Holy Cross in an upcoming college football game. Each market represents a different point margin threshold that Miami (OH) must exceed to settle the bet. The outcomes depend entirely on the final score of the game.
All markets resolve based on whether Miami (OH) wins the Holy Cross vs Miami (OH) college football game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, by a margin exceeding the specified point threshold for each individual market. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, meaning they are settled equitably rather than strictly on the outcome. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistency in resolution regardless of the point differential threshold being evaluated.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from the price differences between this market and external sources.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread being the final result of the game. As more traders buy contracts for a particular spread, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of the game's likely outcome. This is a forward-looking market, meaning prices reflect expectations, not past results.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the Holy Cross vs Miami game, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will settle to 100 for the contract corresponding to the actual spread, and 0 for all other contracts. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout of 100 minus the commission paid when purchasing the contract.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Holy Cross or Miami (OH) teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game, could also shift the spread. Major betting trends or large volume trades on Kalshi itself can also influence the price. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or team strategies could also contribute to volatility in this market.