TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Holstein Kiel vs. 1. FC Nürnberg
Volume:
$300,289
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Bundesliga 2 (German second division) soccer match between Holstein Kiel and 1. FC Nürnberg scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets are offered across Polymarket and Kalshi, with separate binary outcomes for draw, Kiel win, and Nürnberg win, all resolved based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms (Polymarket and Kalshi) apply identical resolution logic: match outcome determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Bundesliga.com statistics as recognized by the governing body; credible reporting consensus if official stats unavailable within 2 hours post-matchCore resolution logic:
- Match result determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties)
- Draw outcome: both teams score equal goals or both score zero
- Kiel win: Holstein Kiel scores more goals than 1. FC Nürnberg
- Nürnberg win: 1. FC Nürnberg scores more goals than Holstein Kiel
- If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
- If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, draw markets resolve Yes and win markets resolve No
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on its rescheduled date
- Cancellation without makeup: Draw market resolves Yes; both Kiel win and Nürnberg win markets resolve No
- Official stats delay: If Bundesliga does not publish official statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution uses consensus from credible sports reporting sources
- Extra time or penalties: Resolution is based only on the 90-minute result plus stoppage time; any extra time or penalty shootout outcomes are excluded
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes on March 14, 2026, following 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with official statistics published or consensus reporting available within 2 hoursOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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