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399,592

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2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Holstein Kiel vs. 1. FC Nürnberg
polymarket
kalshi

Holstein Kiel vs. 1. FC Nürnberg

Volume:
$300,289

1. FC Nürnberg

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 14, 2026

Closed: Mar 14, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

1. FC Nürnberg

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$159,750
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Nuremberg

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$62,064
N/A
N/A
$18,828
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Holstein Kiel

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,329
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Kiel

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,755
N/A
N/A
$10,175
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,090
N/A
N/A
$7,810
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Holstein Kiel vs. 1. FC Nürnberg)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,301
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Bundesliga 2 (German second division) soccer match between Holstein Kiel and 1. FC Nürnberg scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets are offered across Polymarket and Kalshi, with separate binary outcomes for draw, Kiel win, and Nürnberg win, all resolved based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms (Polymarket and Kalshi) apply identical resolution logic: match outcome determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official Bundesliga.com statistics as recognized by the governing body; credible reporting consensus if official stats unavailable within 2 hours post-match

Core resolution logic:

  • Match result determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties)
  • Draw outcome: both teams score equal goals or both score zero
  • Kiel win: Holstein Kiel scores more goals than 1. FC Nürnberg
  • Nürnberg win: 1. FC Nürnberg scores more goals than Holstein Kiel
  • If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
  • If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, draw markets resolve Yes and win markets resolve No

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on its rescheduled date
  • Cancellation without makeup: Draw market resolves Yes; both Kiel win and Nürnberg win markets resolve No
  • Official stats delay: If Bundesliga does not publish official statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution uses consensus from credible sports reporting sources
  • Extra time or penalties: Resolution is based only on the 90-minute result plus stoppage time; any extra time or penalty shootout outcomes are excluded
Timing: Resolution occurs after the match concludes on March 14, 2026, following 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with official statistics published or consensus reporting available within 2 hoursOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.