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Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters vs Saitama Seibu Lions: Total Runs
kalshi

What will be the total runs?

Volume:
$18,716

Over 5.5 runs scored

 - Kalshi

Over 5.5 runs scored - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 13, 2026

Closed: Sep 13, 7:05 AM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 5.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,250
N/A
N/A
$6,219
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 7.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,412
N/A
N/A
$3,280
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 9.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,400
N/A
N/A
$3,335
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 11.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$654
N/A
N/A
$603
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event tracks the total number of runs scored by both teams in a specific college baseball game between the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters and the Saitama Seibu Lions. The outcome depends on whether the combined runs exceed various thresholds. It reflects the anticipated scoring level of the matchup.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total runs scored by both the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters and Saitama Seibu Lions in their college baseball game scheduled for September 13, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different run total threshold—specifically, whether the combined score exceeds 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs. If the actual total runs in the game surpass any of these thresholds, the respective market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets are independent, and each threshold represents a distinct outcome based on the game's final score. The rules clarify that Kalshi, the platform hosting these markets, holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Comparing prediction market odds to those offered by sportsbooks reveals how the collective wisdom of traders stacks up against traditional oddsmakers. Often, prediction markets can offer different perspectives, reflecting a broader range of information and opinions than a sportsbook might initially incorporate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments, the influence of public sentiment, or simply variations in modeling approaches. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but they are derived through distinct mechanisms, and this market may diverge from sportsbook lines.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about whether the total runs scored will be over or under the specified line. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe the total runs will exceed the line, the price of the 'over' contract increases, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants.

This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total runs scored in the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters versus Saitama Seibu Lions game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics will be used to determine whether the total runs exceeded or fell short of the market's specified line. The resolution will reflect the officially recorded run total, as reported by the league’s official sources, and will be reflected in the final payout for this market.

Several factors could influence the movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or pitching changes for either the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters or the Saitama Seibu Lions would likely have a significant impact. Weather conditions at the game location are also a crucial factor, as rain delays or strong winds can affect scoring. Furthermore, pre-game analysis from baseball experts and updated lineup announcements could shift trader sentiment and alter the odds in this market.