TOTAL VOLUME:
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
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events
MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
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Closed: Aug 26, 7:40 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of runs scored by both teams in an upcoming college baseball game between the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters and the Saitama Seibu Lions. The outcome depends on whether the combined runs exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the anticipated offensive performance in the match.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total runs scored by both the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters and Saitama Seibu Lions in their college baseball game scheduled for August 26, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT. Each market corresponds to a different run total threshold—specifically, whether the combined score exceeds 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs. If the actual total runs in the game meet or surpass any of these thresholds, the respective market resolves to 'Yes.' The secondary rules clarify that Kalshi, the platform hosting this event, holds no official affiliation with the governing league of the game, and all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners. The resolution hinges solely on the game's final score, with no additional conditions or adjustments applied.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a different risk assessment than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set a fixed total runs line and payout rates, traders on Kalshi continuously adjust probabilities based on new information, team news, and betting flows. This can create divergence, especially when injury updates or weather conditions shift expectations prior to game time.
This market resolves around Aug 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final over-under result is determined by adding the official runs scored by both teams after the game’s conclusion, with no adjustments for disputed plays or post-game revisions.
Key signals that could shift this market include starting pitcher announcements, injury updates for star hitters or hurlers, weather forecasts affecting run-scoring potential, and in-game momentum swings such as early lead changes or pitching changes. Any development that alters the perceived likelihood of a high- or low-scoring contest can cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi as traders react.