TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 4:25 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of runs scored by both the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters and the Orix Buffaloes in their college baseball game. It evaluates whether the combined scoring exceeds various thresholds, providing insight into the game's offensive intensity. The outcome reflects how high-scoring the match will be.
The event determines whether the combined runs scored by the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters and Orix Buffaloes in their college baseball game scheduled for August 15, 2026, exceed specified thresholds of 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, and 11.5 runs. Each threshold represents a distinct market, with the market resolving to 'Yes' if the total runs surpass the respective threshold. All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately. The game in question is a college baseball match, and the time is set for 1:00 AM EDT. It is important to note that Kalshi, the platform hosting these markets, has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more nuanced range of outcomes because traders can react instantly to new information and place bets on less common lines. Sportsbook odds tend to be broader and may lag behind rapid shifts in sentiment. For example, if a key pitcher is scratched, prediction markets might adjust faster, showing sharper differences between over and under probabilities compared to traditional sportsbook lines.
This market resolves around Aug 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final over-under result is determined by the official total runs scored by both teams during the game, and the market settles accordingly based on that verified number.
Injuries to star players, weather delays affecting game strategy, and pitching changes can all shift this market. If a top pitcher is replaced or rain forces a shorter game, expectations for run scoring may swing dramatically. Additionally, any last-minute lineup announcements or performance trends leading up to the match can cause rapid price adjustments as traders reassess the likelihood of higher or lower scoring outcomes.