TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 11:31 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates the total number of goals scored in an upcoming Bundesliga soccer match between Hoffenheim and Stuttgart. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals, determining whether the match exceeds that threshold. The outcomes reflect the collective scoring performance of both teams within the standard match duration.
The markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored during the Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart professional Bundesliga soccer match scheduled for September 12, 2026, counting only goals scored within the 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee. Extra time and penalty shootout scenarios are explicitly excluded from all calculations. For each market, resolution to 'Yes' occurs if the cumulative goals exceed the specified threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals). All markets share the same core timing and scoring rules, differing only in the goal count threshold that determines a 'Yes' outcome.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the likely outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probability of a specific event. It’s common to see this market and sportsbook odds converge as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes in the Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as profitable trading relies on correctly anticipating market movements. As more traders participate, the prices tend to become more efficient and representative of the true underlying probability.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final goal count of the Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total goals scored in the match, including any added time, will determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official match data, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Hoffenheim or Stuttgart would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the expected goal count. Furthermore, any tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or shifts in public perception based on expert analysis, could all contribute to fluctuations in the market price leading up to Sep 12, 2026.