TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 3:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in Germany's third tier league. Bettors can speculate on whether one team will secure a victory or if the game will end evenly. The resolution depends solely on the result after the standard playing time, excluding any extended periods.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Hoffenheim II versus Fortuna Cologne match in the German 3. Liga, scheduled for September 13, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome for either team-specific market occurs only if that team wins within the 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts. The 'Tie' market resolves positively if the game concludes with an equal score after the same regulated duration. Should the match be canceled or postponed by more than 48 hours from its original date, all markets will instead settle at a fair price, reflecting the adjusted conditions and probabilities at that time.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows individuals to weigh in with their own perspectives. If there is a significant difference between the two, it could indicate that prediction market traders have information or insights not fully incorporated into sportsbook odds. It's important to compare and contrast to form your own informed opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hoffenheim II vs Fortuna Cologne match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome aligned with the final result. The platform will verify the outcome against established sources to ensure accuracy and fairness.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or shifts in player form could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from sports commentators, could also drive price movements. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information entering the market, causing a rapid shift in odds as traders adjust their positions.