TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
HNK Vukovar 1991 vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb
Volume:
$137,272
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Croatian HNL (First Football League) match between HNK Vukovar 1991 and GNK Dinamo Zagreb scheduled for April 13, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi assess the outcome within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, covering win/loss/draw scenarios.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market contains a logical contradiction: all three possible outcomes (Vukovar win, Draw, Dinamo win) are mapped to Yes, making the market non-falsifiable and unresolvable as a prediction instrument. Polymarket defines three separate, mutually exclusive binary markets with coherent resolution logic.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is critically flawed and should not be traded. It will always resolve Yes regardless of match outcome, destroying its predictive value. Use only Polymarket's three binary markets for valid price discovery. Confirm match scheduling via https://hnl.hr/ before April 13, 2026.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes. Draw market resolves Yes if match ends 0-0 or is cancelled with no makeup; otherwise No. Dinamo win market resolves Yes if Dinamo wins, No if cancelled with no makeup. Vukovar win market resolves Yes if Vukovar wins, No if cancelled with no makeup. Primary source: official HNL statistics within 2 hours; fallback to credible reporting consensus. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
- Kalshi: Single market with three outcome branches, all resolving to Yes: 'If Vukovar 1991 wins... Yes. If Tie wins... Yes. If Dinamo Zagreb wins... Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where every possible match result produces a Yes resolution, making the market always resolve Yes and therefore non-predictive and unresolvable as a valid prediction market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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