TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 7:20 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between HNK Rijeka and Derry City FC, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "HNK Rijeka" if HNK Rijeka are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Derry City FC" if Derry City FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between HNK Rijeka and Derry City FC, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "HNK Rijeka" if HNK Rijeka are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Derry City FC" if Derry City FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment rather than a fixed bookmaker margin. On this market, traders continuously adjust prices based on team news, lineup changes, and betting activity, whereas sportsbooks update less frequently and include a built-in profit margin. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd sees value that bookmakers have missed, though both should be cross-checked against recent form and expert analysis before making any decision.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into continuous odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome is represented as a separate contract, and the price of each reflects the cumulative probability the crowd assigns to it. As traders buy or sell contracts, the price adjusts in real time, ensuring the market always has liquidity and a clear price discovery mechanism for the first team to score.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal, regardless of the final scoreline. Early resolution may occur if one team is eliminated or the fixture is officially postponed or cancelled; in such cases, the market outcome will be adjusted according to standard event protocols.
Key catalysts include confirmed team lineups and injury updates, especially for prolific strikers or defensive leaders. Recent form swings, head-to-head scoring trends, and weather conditions on match day can shift trader conviction significantly. Betting activity from sharp bettors often precedes major price moves, as can breaking news about tactical changes or player suspensions. Monitor pre-match press conferences and official team announcements in the final hours before kickoff, as late-breaking information frequently triggers sharp repricing across this market.