TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 7:01 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between HNK Hajduk Split and Páfos FC, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the HNK Hajduk Split vs. Páfos FC match originally scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between HNK Hajduk Split and Páfos FC, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the HNK Hajduk Split vs. Páfos FC match originally scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets price outcomes based on trader conviction and real-money risk. For exact-score markets like this one, sportsbooks typically offer limited scoreline options, whereas prediction markets allow trading on every possible result. This granularity can reveal niche probabilities that bookmakers don't explicitly price, giving you a more complete picture of where informed traders believe value lies.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time odds for each exact scoreline. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy shares in outcomes they believe will occur, and the cumulative volume across all scoreline contracts determines the implied probability of each result. The top outcome currently reflects the consensus view, though prices shift continuously as new trades flow in. This mechanism ensures that the market price gravitates toward the true probability as more information becomes available and traders adjust their positions.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the match between Hajduk Split and Páfos concludes and the final scoreline is confirmed. The outcome is determined by the exact score at the end of regular time, verified against credible public sources covering the fixture. No adjustments are made for extra time or penalty shootouts unless the market terms explicitly state otherwise. Traders should monitor official team announcements and reputable sports news outlets in the days leading up to the event to stay informed of any scheduling changes or other developments that could affect the match.
Several catalysts can shift odds in this market before kickoff. Team news—such as injuries to key players, lineup changes, or managerial decisions—often triggers sharp repricing as traders reassess win probability and expected goal-scoring patterns. Weather conditions, pitch quality, and travel logistics can also influence scoreline expectations. Betting syndicates and sharp money flowing into specific outcomes may signal information asymmetry. Additionally, any official announcements regarding venue, timing, or competition format changes could prompt rapid adjustments. Monitoring pre-match press conferences and injury reports is essential for staying ahead of market moves.