TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 10, 2:12 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between HNK Hajduk Split and NK Istra 1961, scheduled for August 9, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "HNK Hajduk Split" if HNK Hajduk Split are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "NK Istra 1961" if NK Istra 1961 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between HNK Hajduk Split and NK Istra 1961, scheduled for August 9, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "HNK Hajduk Split" if HNK Hajduk Split are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "NK Istra 1961" if NK Istra 1961 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader-driven dynamics and the inclusion of explicit probabilities. While sportsbooks may factor in broader analytics and house margins, prediction markets let participants bet directly on their outlook, sometimes producing sharper or more volatile prices. Observers can watch for gaps between the two, as significant differences may signal shifts in trader confidence or emerging news that sportsbook lines have not yet adjusted to reflect.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders collectively set the price through buying and selling shares of possible outcomes. The current implied chance for each team to score first reflects the balance of bets placed. This continuous pricing model means the odds can shift rapidly with new information, such as player injuries or tactical announcements, and the top outcome displayed often aligns closely with trader consensus at that moment.
This market resolves around Aug 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The first team to find the net during the game determines the winner, and the platform checks trusted sports news and official match records to finalize the settlement. No further analysis or interpretation is needed beyond confirming the verified scorer.
Injuries to key attacking players, changes in coaching strategy, or weather conditions that affect playing style could all shift this market. Traders will also react to pre-match betting trends, recent form of the teams, and any last-minute lineup announcements. As the match nears, any news that alters the perceived likelihood of an early goal — even minor updates — may cause rapid movements in the odds on Polymarket.