TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 9, 2:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between HNK Hajduk Split and MŠK Žilina, scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "HNK Hajduk Split" if HNK Hajduk Split score more goals than MŠK Žilina in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if HNK Hajduk Split and MŠK Žilina score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "MŠK Žilina" if MŠK Žilina score more goals than HNK Hajduk Split in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between HNK Hajduk Split and MŠK Žilina, scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "HNK Hajduk Split" if HNK Hajduk Split score more goals than MŠK Žilina in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if HNK Hajduk Split and MŠK Žilina score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "MŠK Žilina" if MŠK Žilina score more goals than HNK Hajduk Split in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets like this one are driven purely by trader consensus. Comparing this market's implied probability to major sportsbook lines can reveal where smart money disagrees with bookmakers, though both sources carry distinct advantages for different bettors.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker (AMM) system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective belief of all active traders at any given moment. As more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises and others fall, creating a continuous price discovery mechanism that updates throughout the trading period.
This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, once the second half of the Hajduk Split versus Žilina match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official final score reported for that half, with no ambiguity about which team scored more goals after the whistle. Resolution happens automatically once the event is confirmed through standard sports reporting channels.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries, lineup changes, or tactical shifts announced before kickoff. Early first-half momentum and scoreline can shift trader expectations for the second half significantly. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and any controversial calls during the opening 45 minutes may also influence how traders price the second-half outcome. Real-time score updates and possession patterns during the match will drive the most dramatic repricing as new information emerges.