Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi resolve based on the official HNL match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with identical scope and timing requirements.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Croatian HNL statistics (https://hnl.hr/); fallback to credible reporting consensus if official stats not published within 2 hours of match conclusion
Core resolution logic:
Resolution window is 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded
Three mutually exclusive outcomes: HNK Gorica win, NK Istra 1961 win, or draw
If match is postponed, markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game, Polymarket win markets resolve No and draw market resolves Yes; Kalshi catch-all market resolves Yes (covering all outcomes)
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed; no automatic resolution occurs
Match Cancellation Without Makeup: Polymarket: individual win markets resolve No, draw market resolves Yes. Kalshi: catch-all market resolves Yes (all outcomes covered)
Official Stats Delayed: If HNL does not publish final statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus from established sports news sources may be used for resolution
Extra Time or Penalties: Only the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time counts; any result determined in extra time or penalty shootout is not used for resolution
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time) and official HNL statistics are published or credible consensus is established, with a maximum 2-hour window post-match for official source verification
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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