TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 6:30 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between HŠK Zrinjski Mostar and KF Valur, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the HŠK Zrinjski Mostar vs. KF Valur match originally scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between HŠK Zrinjski Mostar and KF Valur, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the HŠK Zrinjski Mostar vs. KF Valur match originally scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market's odds may differ from sportsbook lines because traders here have direct financial exposure to accuracy, creating stronger pressure toward true probability estimates. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value opportunities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time probability quotes for each exact score outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares corresponding to specific scorelines, and the cumulative order flow determines the odds displayed on the dashboard. As more capital flows into a particular outcome, its price rises, while competing outcomes fall. This continuous mechanism ensures prices reflect the collective conviction of active traders at any given moment.
This market resolves around Jul 30, 2026, once the match concludes and the final scoreline is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact score at the end of regular time, with no ambiguity about which outcome has occurred. Traders holding shares in the correct exact score receive their payout, while incorrect predictions expire worthless. Resolution timing depends on official confirmation of the result.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—can shift odds significantly, as can recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day. Pre-match analysis from credible sports analysts may influence trader positioning if it surfaces new information about either side's likely approach. As kickoff approaches, late-breaking developments such as unexpected absences or tactical announcements often trigger sharp repricing. Live trading activity itself can amplify moves if large positions accumulate in a single outcome, signaling informed conviction.