TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 6, 2:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between HJK Helsinki and Motherwell, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a specific goal differential threshold during regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. The event provides multiple scenarios based on varying goal margins for both teams.
The event resolves based on the goal differential by which either HJK Helsinki or Motherwell wins the professional Conference League soccer match originally scheduled for August 6, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are evaluated: HJK Helsinki winning by more than 2.5 goals, HJK Helsinki winning by more than 1.5 goals, Motherwell winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Motherwell winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are determined solely by the score after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty shootout results. The event explicitly states that the platform operating these markets is not affiliated with or endorsed by the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price through continuous trading, adjusting positions based on analysis, news, and shifting expectations. The current top outcome reflects the collective bet of participants, with liquidity indicated by volume of $11,553. Prices update instantly to reflect new bets, allowing for dynamic pricing that can shift rapidly ahead of the match.
This market resolves around Aug 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by official match records, ensuring an objective and transparent process. Traders can track updates leading up to that date, but the final settlement will rely on authoritative sources that confirm the spread result.
Injuries, weather conditions, and tactical changes can all influence this market as the match approaches. Key moments such as pre-game analysis, player availability announcements, or shifts in team form may cause traders to adjust their positions. Any new information that impacts the expected performance gap between the teams can lead to noticeable price movements on Kalshi before resolution.