TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 23, 4:15 AM EST
Kalshi
The spread between Hiroshima Toyo Carp and Yomiuri Giants in their NPB game determines these market outcomes, with different thresholds for each team's victory margin.
Markets resolve to Yes if Yomiuri Giants win by more than 2.5 or 1.5 runs, or if Hiroshima Toyo Carp win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 runs, in the NPB game scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, at 1:00 AM EDT. Each market corresponds to a distinct run differential threshold, and all resolutions are based solely on the game's final result. Kalshi notes it holds no official connection with the governing league, and all trademarks are property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the price for this market through buying and selling contracts that represent the probability of the Giants winning by over the set run differential. The current implied chance reflects the aggregated assessment of all participants, influenced by recent performance metrics, player injuries, and weather conditions affecting the upcoming matchup.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score and run differential from the actual game will determine whether the Giants covered the spread, closing all open positions and settling all contracts based on the recorded result.
Key signals that could shift this market include major player injuries, changes to starting pitchers, weather delays affecting game conditions, and shifting morale or confidence after recent performances. Any development that alters the perceived likelihood of the Giants covering the spread — whether through media coverage, coaching strategies, or lineup announcements — may cause rapid price adjustments among traders on Kalshi as the game nears.