TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 23, 4:15 AM EST
Kalshi
In a professional baseball game between the Hiroshima Toyo Carp and the Yomiuri Giants, the first inning is the initial period where teams attempt to score runs. The outcome depends on whether either team manages to score during this opening period.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Yomiuri Giants professional Japan NPB baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds adjust dynamically based on real-time trading activity and can diverge from sportsbook odds due to different participant motivations and information inputs. While sportsbooks may set lines based on historical performance and public betting trends, this market incorporates a broader range of factors as participants speculate on the likelihood of an early lead. The resulting probabilities often provide a unique perspective compared to conventional sports betting odds.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price through continuous trading, with the current chance percentage reflecting the market’s collective assessment of an early lead. The volume of $5,059 indicates overall interest, while the 24-hour volume of $5,059 shows recent activity levels. Prices update instantly based on supply and demand, allowing participants to bet on their expectations for the opening inning’s scoring outcome.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result depends solely on whether either team scores a run in the first inning of the game, as recorded by official scorekeepers and widely reported sources.
Key signals include starting pitcher announcements, weather delays or changes, and any last-minute roster adjustments. Injuries to star hitters or pitchers, as well as pre-game bullpen sessions that suggest a strong or weak start, could shift trader sentiment. Sudden shifts in betting volume may also indicate new information becoming available as Aug 23, 2026 approaches.