TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:10 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a baseball game between two teams, focusing on the margin of victory. The result depends on which team wins and by how many runs they win. Different margins of victory lead to different resolutions for the event.
The event resolves based on the margin of victory in the Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Yokohama DeNA BayStars game scheduled for September 27, 2026. If Yokohama DeNA BayStars win by more than 2.5 runs, or by more than 1.5 runs, the market resolves accordingly. Similarly, if Hiroshima Toyo Carp win by more than 1.5 runs, or by more than 2.5 runs, the market resolves accordingly. All markets are independent and resolve based solely on the run differential at the end of the regulated game time, without regard to any post-game events or adjustments. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially early on, as prediction markets can be more responsive to new information and less influenced by pre-conceived notions. Examining these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed forecasting.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final score differential between the Hiroshima Toyo Carp and the Yokohama DeNA BayStars will be used to determine whether the BayStars win by over 2.5 runs, as defined by this market. The resolution will be based on official game results and verified against credible public sources, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the Hiroshima Toyo Carp or the Yokohama DeNA BayStars would likely cause price fluctuations. Weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the game, can also influence trading activity. Furthermore, any shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding the teams' performance could drive changes in the market. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential movements in the market leading up to Sep 27, 2026.