TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 9, 7:44 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the margin of victory in an upcoming baseball game between two teams. Each market corresponds to a specific run differential threshold that determines the outcome. The resolution depends entirely on the final score of the game.
These markets resolve based on the run differential in the Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Yokohama DeNA BayStars game scheduled for August 9, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are defined: Yokohama DeNA BayStars winning by more than 2.5 runs, Yokohama DeNA BayStars winning by more than 1.5 runs, Hiroshima Toyo Carp winning by more than 1.5 runs, and Hiroshima Toyo Carp winning by more than 2.5 runs. The market resolves to Yes for the specific outcome matching the actual run differential at the end of the game. All markets are independent assessments of victory margins, with each threshold representing a progressively narrower or wider margin requirement for resolution. The governing body's official result determines all resolutions, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league.
This market resolves around Aug 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread is determined by the official game results, and once the numbers are reported by trusted sports news outlets and league databases, the market settles automatically based on those figures. Traders can watch for confirmed scores and run totals to know when the market has closed.
Injuries to key players, weather delays, and pitching changes can all shift expectations for the game’s spread and move this market. Traders will also react to pre-game news, such as lineup announcements or bullpen updates, as well as early in-game performance if the match starts before the market closes. Any development that changes the perceived advantage for either team is likely to cause price swings as participants adjust their bets accordingly.