TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 8, 9:49 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the margin of victory in an upcoming baseball game between two teams. Each market corresponds to a specific run differential threshold that determines the outcome. The resolution depends entirely on the final score of the game.
These markets resolve based on the run differential in the Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Yokohama DeNA BayStars game scheduled for August 8, 2026. Four distinct thresholds are defined: Yokohama DeNA BayStars winning by over 2.5 runs, Yokohama DeNA BayStars winning by over 1.5 runs, Hiroshima Toyo Carp winning by over 1.5 runs, and Hiroshima Toyo Carp winning by over 2.5 runs. The market resolves to 'Yes' if the actual result meets or exceeds the specified run differential for that particular market. Each market operates independently, meaning satisfaction of one condition does not affect the resolution of others. All markets are unaffiliated with official league governance, and trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
This market resolves around Aug 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread result is compared against the settled line, and contracts are exercised based on whether the actual margin falls above or below that figure. No additional interpretation is needed beyond the publicly recorded game statistics.
Injuries to key starters, changes in pitching schedules, or recent head-to-head performance can all shift expectations and move this market. Weather delays, bullpen updates, and even early-game scoring bursts may cause rapid adjustments in odds as traders reassess the likely spread margin. Any development altering the perceived competitive balance can influence positioning in the days leading up to Aug 8, 2026.