TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 12, 8:05 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of runs scored by both teams in a college baseball game between Hiroshima Toyo Carp and Tokyo Yakult Swallows. The outcome depends on whether the combined runs exceed specific thresholds. Higher thresholds offer more selective resolution criteria for the market.
The event evaluates multiple run-total thresholds for a single baseball game between Hiroshima Toyo Carp and Tokyo Yakult Swallows scheduled for August 12, 2026. Each threshold—over 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, and 11.5 runs—defines a separate market that resolves to 'Yes' if the combined score of both teams exceeds that level. All markets share the same underlying game and time, but each applies its unique numerical condition. The secondary rules clarify that the platform hosting these markets has no official ties to the league or teams involved, and all intellectual property belongs to the respective rights holders.
On Kalshi, traders in the Carp vs Swallows total runs market set odds based on collective wisdom and real-time betting dynamics. These prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook lines, reflecting unique trader sentiment and market depth rather than a single bookmaker’s assessment. While sportsbooks may incorporate broader public betting trends and adjusted margins, this market offers a more granular view shaped by active participants. The divergence can highlight under-the-radar insights or emerging patterns not fully captured by conventional odds, making this market an interesting contrast for analysts and fans alike.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders manually set bids and asks that determine this market’s current implied probability. The top outcome’s chance reflects aggregated expectations from participants about total runs scored, adjusted continuously by new trades. Volume of $14,749 helps gauge liquidity, while price history charts reveal shifts following key news or performance updates specific to the Carp and Swallows.
This market resolves around Aug 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final over-under result is based on official game statistics released after the match concludes, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process for all participants on Kalshi.
In the coming weeks, key signals such as starting pitcher announcements, recent team performance trends, and weather forecasts for the matchups could strongly influence this market. Injuries to key batters or changes in batting lineups may also shift trader expectations for total runs. As Aug 12, 2026 approaches, any last-minute roster updates or bullpen effectiveness reports could produce noticeable movement. Traders will closely watch these developments to anticipate whether the game leans toward a high-scoring affair or a tighter, lower-run contest.