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Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows?

Volume:
$6,194

Hiroshima Toyo Carp wins by over 1.5 runs

 - Kalshi

Hiroshima Toyo Carp wins by over 1.5 runs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 15, 2026

Closed: Sep 15, 8:20 AM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hiroshima Toyo Carp wins by over 1.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,996
N/A
N/A
$2,931
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hiroshima Toyo Carp wins by over 2.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,974
N/A
N/A
$986
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins by over 2.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$737
N/A
N/A
$737
Settled
No
kalshi

Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins by over 1.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$487
N/A
N/A
$487
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a baseball game between the Hiroshima Toyo Carp and the Tokyo Yakult Swallows, focusing on the margin of victory. Bettors assess whether a team will win by a specific number of runs or more. The result depends entirely on the final score of the game as it concludes under official conditions.

Kalshi

The event evaluates different margins of victory for both the Hiroshima Toyo Carp and the Tokyo Yakult Swallows in their scheduled game on September 15, 2026. Four separate markets exist, each corresponding to a specific run differential: the Tokyo Yakult Swallows winning by over 2.5 runs, the Tokyo Yakult Swallows winning by over 1.5 runs, the Hiroshima Toyo Carp winning by over 1.5 runs, and the Hiroshima Toyo Carp winning by over 2.5 runs. Each market resolves to 'Yes' only if the specified team achieves the exact run differential condition in the game’s final, official result. All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. The governing rules emphasize that Kalsci holds no official affiliation with the Japan NPB league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated an ability to be more accurate than polls or expert forecasts, though differences can still arise due to varying information and analytical approaches. It's important to consider both sources when forming your own opinion.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes, and the price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of its probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing beliefs. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the cost to purchase a contract that pays out if the corresponding outcome occurs, and it also implies the probability that traders assign to that outcome. The market is entirely driven by supply and demand from users on the platform.

This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the final results of the Hiroshima Toyo Carp versus Tokyo Yakult Swallows spread, as officially reported by the NPB. The market will determine which outcome – the Carp winning by over 2.5 runs, or not – is the correct one based on this publicly available data. The exact timing of resolution may depend on the speed at which official results are released.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Hiroshima Toyo Carp or the Tokyo Yakult Swallows could significantly shift expectations. Changes in pitching rotations, weather forecasts impacting game conditions, or even significant team performance trends could also drive price movements. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or managerial decisions could also impact how traders assess the likelihood of different outcomes, leading to fluctuations in the market price.