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Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows: Spread
kalshi

Who will win Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows?

Volume:
$6,346

Hiroshima Toyo Carp wins by over 1.5 runs

 - Kalshi

Hiroshima Toyo Carp wins by over 1.5 runs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 13, 2026

Closed: Aug 13, 5:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hiroshima Toyo Carp wins by over 1.5 runs

View
45%
23%
Yes 45¢No 55¢
100¢
N/A
$2,950
N/A
N/A
$1,367
Settled
No
kalshi

Hiroshima Toyo Carp wins by over 2.5 runs

View
30%
13%
Yes 30¢No 70¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins by over 2.5 runs

View
17%
43%
Yes 17¢No 83¢
100¢
N/A
$3,395
N/A
N/A
$1,578
Settled
No
kalshi

Tokyo Yakult Swallows wins by over 1.5 runs

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a baseball game between the Hiroshima Toyo Carp and the Tokyo Yakult Swallows, focusing on the margin of victory. Bettors assess whether a team will win by a specific run difference, adding an additional layer of analysis beyond simply predicting which team will win.

Kalshi

The event consists of four markets, each evaluating different run-margin thresholds for the Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows game scheduled for August 11, 2026. The first market resolves to Yes if the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win by more than 2.5 runs. The second market resolves to Yes if the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win by more than 1.5 runs. The third market resolves to Yes if the Hiroshima Toyo Carp win by more than 1.5 runs. The fourth market resolves to Yes if the Hiroshima Toyo Carp win by more than 2.5 runs. All markets are independent, and each has its own resolution criteria based on the run differential at the end of the game. The secondary rules clarify that Kalsci holds no official affiliation with the Japan NPB, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Carp vs Swallows spread market dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume for the spread outcome. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood that the Tokyo Yakult Swallows will cover the run spread against Hiroshima Toyo Carp. The dashboard updates continuously to reflect market sentiment and trading activity, giving users insight into how this market is moving.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through continuous bidding and asking, reflecting their collective view of the spread outcome. The current top outcome shows the chance that the Tokyo Yakult Swallows will win by over 2.5 runs, with the market price adjusting based on new information, trading volume, and shifts in participant sentiment. This decentralized pricing mechanism captures a broad range of opinions and data inputs.

This market resolves around Aug 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the Hiroshima Toyo Carp versus Tokyo Yakult Swallows game will determine whether the spread is met, based on official league records. Traders can track the game results as they become available to see how this market settles.

Injuries to key players, weather delays, or changes in pitching rotations could shift expectations for the game’s outcome and move this market. Strong performance from a starting pitcher or late-lineup additions may also influence trader sentiment. As the game approaches, any news that impacts team strength or game conditions can cause rapid price adjustments, so monitoring pre-game reports and lineup announcements is crucial.