TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 8:34 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a baseball game between two teams, focusing on the margin of victory. Bettors assess whether one team will win by a specific number of runs or more. The result depends entirely on the final score of the scheduled match.
The event evaluates different run-differential scenarios for the Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows game scheduled for July 26, 2026. Four distinct markets resolve based on whether either team wins by exceeding specified run margins: Tokyo Yakult Swallows winning by over 2.5 or 1.5 runs, and Hiroshima Toyo Carp winning by over 1.5 or 2.5 runs. Each market independently assesses its condition using the game's official final score. All markets share identical secondary disclaimers clarifying that Kalsci holds no official affiliation with the Japan NPB league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners. The event exclusively references the game originally scheduled for the stated date and time; any rescheduling or cancellation would adhere to standard sporting event resolution practices as defined by the platform.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread is calculated based on the official game score, and any tied or canceled matches are handled according to Kalshi’s standard rules. Traders can monitor news and score updates as the game approaches to anticipate the closing price.
Injuries to key starters, weather delays, or last-minute lineup changes could shift this market significantly before Jul 26, 2026. Traders will also watch pitching matchups and recent performance stats, as these often affect spreads. Any surprise roster moves or bullpen updates may cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi as bettors reassess the likely point differential.