TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 8:54 AM EST
Kalshi
This Japan NPB game between the Hiroshima Toyo Carp and Tokyo Yakult Swallows scheduled for July 25, 2026 will be tracked for the margin of victory. Bettors can wager on whether one team will win by various run margins.
Resolution is determined by the final margin of victory in the Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows game on July 25, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. The event features directional spread thresholds: Yes outcomes occur if the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win by more than 2.5 or 1.5 runs, or if the Hiroshima Toyo Carp win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 runs respectively. Each threshold and team direction represents an independent market condition, allowing bettors to speculate on both the winning team and the magnitude of their victory.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread from the official game result will determine which side of this market is settled as the winner, based on the rules defined by Kalshi.
Injuries to key players, changes in pitching rotations, weather conditions affecting the game, and recent head-to-head performance can all shift trader sentiment. Additionally, any significant news about team strategies or lineup decisions leading up to the match may cause rapid price movements in this market as traders adjust their positions.