TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 7:20 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a baseball game between the Hiroshima Toyo Carp and the Hanshin Tigers, focusing on the margin of victory. It allows participants to speculate on whether a team will win by a specific number of runs or more. The event is based on a professional league match scheduled for September 18, 2026.
The event consists of four separate outcome markets all tied to the same baseball game between the Hiroshima Toyo Carp and the Hanshin Tigers, scheduled for September 18, 2026. Each market resolves based on the winning margin of the game. The first market resolves to Yes if the Hanshin Tigers win by more than 2.5 runs. The second market resolves to Yes if the Hanshin Tigers win by more than 1.5 runs, regardless of whether the margin meets the stricter 2.5-run threshold. The third market resolves to Yes if the Hiroshima Toyo Carp win by more than 1.5 runs. The fourth market resolves to Yes if the Hiroshima Toyo Carp win by more than 2.5 runs. All markets share the same underlying game and time, and all include a secondary disclaimer stating that Kalsci is not affiliated with the governing league and that all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management strategies, while this market relies on individuals forecasting the outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public perception shifts. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into the perceived probability of various outcomes for the Carp vs Tigers spread.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Hiroshima Toyo Carp versus Hanshin Tigers game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether the Hanshin Tigers win the game by more than 1.5 runs. Any adjustments to the game's official result will be considered in determining the final outcome of this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the game's final score to understand the resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the Carp or the Tigers would likely have an impact. Weather conditions at the game location could also play a role, as could significant shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding the teams' performance. Unexpected developments in the game itself, such as early scoring or dominant pitching performances, could also cause the market to move considerably.