TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 8:29 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will win the Hiroshima Toyo Carp versus Chunichi Dragons baseball game in Japan’s NPB. Currently, Kalshi gives an 88.0% probability to Hiroshima Toyo Carp winning, while Chunichi Dragons has a 12.0% probability. The market resolves based on the outcome of the game originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, as determined by the official result reported for that fixture. Keep a close watch on the game itself on September 3, 2026, as the final score will determine the market’s resolution.
The market resolves based on the outcome of the Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Chunichi Dragons Japan NPB game scheduled for Sep 3, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open until the rescheduled game concludes within two days. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond two days, the market resolves to a fair price. A tie results in a 50/50 resolution for the markets.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the price for this market through buying and selling contracts. The current chance percentage displayed represents the aggregated view of all participants, updating instantly with each trade. Market depth and volume influence price stability, with higher trading activity typically leading to more precise odds. This decentralized pricing mechanism allows for rapid adjustments as new game-related information emerges.
This market resolves around Sep 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game outcome, which is then automatically matched to the market's predefined conditions. Traders can monitor news and official league announcements to anticipate when the resolution process will begin.
Injuries to key players, changes in pitching rotations, weather conditions affecting game play, and shifting team performance trends could all move this market. As new information emerges — such as lineup updates or coaching strategies — traders on Kalshi will react, potentially causing sharp shifts in odds. Media coverage and analyst commentary leading up to the game may also influence market sentiment and trading volume.