TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Hiroshima Carp vs. Yomiuri Giants
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Hiroshima Carp vs. Yomiuri Giants?

Volume:
$83,685

Yomiuri Giants

 - Kalshi

Yomiuri Giants - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 4, 2026

Closed: Sep 4, 8:24 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Yomiuri Giants

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$42,934
N/A
N/A
$36,705
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hiroshima Toyo Carp

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$37,222
N/A
N/A
$29,862
Settled
No
polymarket

Hiroshima Carp vs. Yomiuri Giants

0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,529
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group tracks the outcome of the NPB baseball game between Hiroshima Carp and Yomiuri Giants scheduled for September 4 at 5:00AM ET. The resolution depends on which team wins the game, with special rules for ties, cancellations, or postponements.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental logic mismatch: Polymarket uses team-name outcomes while Kalshi uses binary resolution regardless of winnerHero tip: Do not trade across these platforms expecting consistent payouts. Polymarket offers proper team-outcome resolution while Kalshi's binary logic creates unresolvable contradictions in NPB match betting.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to team name ('Hiroshima Carp' or 'Yomiuri Giants'), with 50-50 split for ties/cancellations. Source: Official NPB information
  • Kalshi: Resolves Yes regardless of which team wins, creating fundamental logic mismatch with Polymarket's team-based resolution
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for September 4 at 5:00AM ET: If the Hiroshima Carp win, the market will resolve to "Hiroshima Carp". If the Yomiuri Giants win, the market will resolve to "Yomiuri Giants". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If Yomiuri Giants wins the Yomiuri Giants vs Hiroshima Toyo Carp Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Sep 4, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hiroshima Toyo Carp wins the Yomiuri Giants vs Hiroshima Toyo Carp Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Sep 4, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Carp vs. Giants matchup market aggregates real-time data from multiple prediction venues, showing how traders price the chances of each team winning. It displays total volume of $83,685 and 24-hour volume of $78,194, letting you see where interest is concentrated. The view updates continuously, reflecting the latest consensus across platforms. This centralized tracking makes it easy to compare sentiment and spot shifts in expectations as the game approaches.

Injuries to key players, weather delays, and pitching rotations can all shift this market as the game nears. Momentum swings during early innings may also cause rapid re-pricing, especially on lower-liquidity platforms. Keep an eye on official team announcements and live game updates — sudden changes to starting lineups or game conditions often produce the most pronounced movements in trader sentiment before the final outcome is set.