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406,065

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Hiroshima Carp vs. Yomiuri Giants
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Hiroshima Carp vs. Yomiuri Giants?

Volume:
$330,973

Yomiuri Giants

 - Kalshi

Yomiuri Giants - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 6, 2026

Closed: Aug 6, 9:09 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Yomiuri Giants

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$175,928
N/A
N/A
$107,105
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hiroshima Toyo Carp

View
0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$137,829
N/A
N/A
$83,765
Settled
No
polymarket

Hiroshima Carp vs. Yomiuri Giants

View
0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,217
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the outcome of the NPB baseball game between Hiroshima Carp and Yomiuri Giants scheduled for August 6 at 5:00AM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with specific rules for ties, cancellations, and postponements.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market structure mismatch where Kalshi fails to properly distinguish between the two possible winning outcomesHero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market as it is structurally flawed and cannot resolve correctly. Use Polymarket for accurate outcome betting.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Standard binary resolution: Hiroshima Carp win resolves to "Hiroshima Carp", Yomiuri Giants win resolves to "Yomiuri Giants", ties/cancellations split 50-50. Uses proper outcome-based resolution.
  • Kalshi: Incorrectly labels both potential wins as resolving to "Yes". Fails to distinguish between Hiroshima Carp victory and Yomiuri Giants victory, making it fundamentally unable to resolve properly.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 6 at 5:00AM ET: If the Hiroshima Carp win, the market will resolve to "Hiroshima Carp". If the Yomiuri Giants win, the market will resolve to "Yomiuri Giants". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the originally scheduled game on Aug 6, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond two days, the market resolves to a fair price. A tie results in a 50/50 resolution for both markets. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Carp vs. Giants matchup market aggregates data from multiple venues, showing how traders price the chances of each team winning. It displays current probabilities, volume of $330,973, and 24-hour volume of $320,316, letting you see consensus views across Polymarket and Kalshi. This real-time view helps you spot shifts in sentiment as the game approaches.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through trader activity that may emphasize different signals than Kalshi. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, user demographics, liquidity, and regional interest can skew probabilities. Currently, Polymarket and Kalshi show divergent leading outcomes, reflecting unique market compositions and real-time betting patterns across the two venues.