TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Hiroshima Carp vs. Yokohama BayStars
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Hiroshima Carp vs. Yokohama BayStars?

Volume:
$36,197

Hiroshima Carp vs. Yokohama BayStars

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 11, 2026

Closed: Sep 11, 2:06 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Hiroshima Carp vs. Yokohama BayStars

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,866
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Yes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,331
N/A
N/A
$5,030
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This group resolves based on the outcome of a professional Japanese baseball (NPB) game between the Hiroshima Carp and the Yokohama BayStars. The primary question is which team will win the game, with a tie or cancellation resulting in a 50-50 split.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The markets have a significant scope divergence: one asks about the overall game winner, the other about first-inning scoring.Hero tip: Treat these as completely separate events. Do not attempt to correlate probabilities between the two markets.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the overall game winner (Hiroshima Carp or Yokohama BayStars), or a 50-50 split for a tie or cancellation. "If the Hiroshima Carp win, the market will resolve to "Hiroshima Carp". If the Yokohama BayStars win, the market will resolve to "Yokohama BayStars".
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either team scores a run in the first inning, otherwise 'No'. "If either team scores a run in the first inning...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for September 11 at 5:00AM ET: If the Hiroshima Carp win, the market will resolve to "Hiroshima Carp". If the Yokohama BayStars win, the market will resolve to "Yokohama BayStars". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Yokohama DeNA BayStars vs Hiroshima Toyo Carp professional Japan NPB baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the aggregate prediction probabilities for the NPB championship. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a strong likelihood of one team winning, though opinions differ. The total volume traded across both venues is $36,197, with $36,197 changing hands in the last 24 hours. This allows for a comprehensive overview of where the crowd believes the most value lies in the NPB championship, providing a unique perspective beyond traditional analysis. This dashboard consolidates data from multiple sources to offer a clear picture of the market.

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief, leading to odds that can be more sensitive to new information or nuanced factors. This can result in discrepancies, with prediction markets sometimes identifying mispricings that sportsbooks haven't yet accounted for. However, both offer valuable insights for those looking to assess the probabilities of various outcomes.