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399,592

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2,622

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Hiroshima Carp vs. Yokohama BayStars
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Hiroshima Carp vs Yokohama BayStars?

Volume:
$100,457

Hiroshima Toyo Carp

 - Kalshi

Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 26, 2026

Closed: Aug 26, 8:04 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hiroshima Toyo Carp

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$48,253
N/A
N/A
$35,895
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Hiroshima Carp vs. Yokohama BayStars

View
100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,412
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Yokohama DeNA BayStars

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$48,792
N/A
N/A
$38,134
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group tracks the outcome of the NPB baseball game between Hiroshima Carp and Yokohama BayStars scheduled for August 26 at 5:00AM ET. The resolution depends on which team wins the game, with specific rules for ties, cancellations, and postponements.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market structure mismatch: Polymarket uses team-name outcomes while Kalshi uses binary Yes/No for either team winHero tip: Do not attempt cross-platform arbitrage. Monitor official NPB announcements for game status. Resolution will require platform-specific adjustments

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to team name ('Hiroshima Carp' or 'Yokohama BayStars') with 50-50 split for ties/cancellations. Quote: If game is canceled entirely...resolve 50-50
  • Kalshi: Binary Yes/No market that resolves Yes for either team win. Quote: If Yokohama DeNA BayStars wins...market resolves to Yes. If Hiroshima Toyo Carp wins...market resolves to Yes
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 26 at 5:00AM ET: If the Hiroshima Carp win, the market will resolve to "Hiroshima Carp". If the Yokohama BayStars win, the market will resolve to "Yokohama BayStars". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the Yokohama DeNA BayStars vs Hiroshima Toyo Carp Japan NPB game originally scheduled for August 26, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT. If Yokohama DeNA BayStars wins, their market resolves to Yes, and Hiroshima Toyo Carp's market resolves to No, and vice versa. If the game ends in a tie, both markets resolve to 50/50. Should the game be postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes, provided it occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days after the original date, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard tracks the Hiroshima Carp vs. Yokohama BayStars matchup across multiple prediction markets, showing how traders on different platforms price the chances of each team winning. It aggregates volume and recent activity to give a consensus view of market sentiment. The data updates in real time, reflecting shifts in trader confidence as the event approaches. By monitoring this aggregated view, users can see where the most betting action is concentrated and compare how different platforms are valuing the teams. The dashboard provides a clear snapshot of market dynamics for this sports event.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can vary because of differences in user bases, liquidity, and trading activity. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one platform might attract more local fans, skewing its odds toward a favored team, while the other could reflect a more global, neutral audience. Liquidity levels also play a role—a deeper market with higher volume tends to stabilize prices, whereas thinner markets see wider swings. Moreover, each platform’s unique trading interface and fee structure can influence how users place bets, further divergence between the two venues.

Injuries to key players, pitching rotations, weather delays, and recent performance trends could all shift this market. Any update that changes the perceived likelihood of a victory for either side may cause odds to adjust rapidly. Traders will also watch for lineup announcements and bullpen updates, as these practical factors often influence late-game dynamics in close contests.