TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Hiroshima Carp vs. Yokohama BayStars
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win the Hiroshima Carp vs. Yokohama BayStars game?

Volume:
$146,585

Hiroshima Toyo Carp

 - Kalshi

Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 15, 2026

Closed: Jul 15, 8:19 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hiroshima Toyo Carp

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$72,434
N/A
N/A
$37,232
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Hiroshima Carp vs. Yokohama BayStars

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$944
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Yokohama DeNA BayStars

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$73,207
N/A
N/A
$42,247
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the outcome of a single NPB (Nippon Professional Baseball) game between the Hiroshima Carp and Yokohama BayStars scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are designed to resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponements, cancellations, and ties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (either team winning) are specified to resolve to Yes, leaving no valid resolution path for a No outcome. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero tip: Avoid trading on Kalshi until clarification is provided. The Polymarket version is logically sound and should be treated as the reference. Confirm with Kalshi whether the Yes/Yes structure is intentional or a documentation error, and what triggers a No resolution.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary outcome market: resolves to team name if either team wins. Cancellation, tie, or no makeup game triggers 50-50 split. Clear, resolvable logic with defined edge cases.
  • Kalshi: Both Yokohama BayStars win and Hiroshima Carp win are stated to resolve to Yes. No condition for No resolution is specified, creating a logical impossibility.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for July 15 at 5:00AM ET: If the Hiroshima Carp win, the market will resolve to "Hiroshima Carp". If the Yokohama BayStars win, the market will resolve to "Yokohama BayStars". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the winner of the Yokohama DeNA BayStars vs Hiroshima Toyo Carp Japan NPB game originally scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes, provided the reschedule occurs within two days. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with standard rules. In the event of a tie game, both team markets resolve to 50/50.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market pricing for the Hiroshima Carp vs. Yokohama BayStars matchup across Polymarket and Kalshi, two leading venues where traders forecast the game outcome. You can monitor real-time odds, historical price movements, and cross-platform consensus as the event approaches. The combined volume across both platforms reflects active trader interest and confidence levels. Each platform independently prices the matchup based on its user base and trading dynamics, allowing you to compare how different prediction communities assess the teams' chances before the game concludes.

Prediction markets like those tracked here operate on a fundamentally different model than traditional sportsbooks. Rather than a bookmaker setting fixed lines, traders on Polymarket and Kalshi continuously buy and sell shares, with prices reflecting the collective belief of active participants. Sportsbooks manage risk and profit margins through juice or vigorish; prediction markets instead aggregate dispersed information through price discovery. Over time, prediction market odds often converge toward actual outcomes because traders have direct financial incentive to price events accurately. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbook lines can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value.

Key catalysts include team roster updates, injury announcements, recent performance streaks, and head-to-head historical matchup data. Weather conditions on game day and venue factors can also influence trader sentiment. Major league standings pressure and playoff implications may shift how traders assess each team's motivation. Media coverage, expert predictions, and betting line movements from sportsbooks often prompt repricing on prediction markets. Trading volume typically accelerates closer to game time as more participants enter positions, potentially creating volatility. Monitor official team announcements and sports news for developments that could reshape market expectations.