TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Hiroshima Carp vs. Hanshin Tigers
polymarket
kalshi

Hiroshima Carp vs. Hanshin Tigers

Volume:
$20,352

Hiroshima Carp vs. Hanshin Tigers

 - Polymarket

Hiroshima Carp vs. Hanshin Tigers - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 15, 2026

Closed: Aug 15, 10:36 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Hiroshima Carp vs. Hanshin Tigers

View
100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,585
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hiroshima Toyo Carp wins by over 2.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,550
N/A
N/A
$1,160
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hiroshima Toyo Carp wins by over 1.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$466
N/A
N/A
$466
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hanshin Tigers wins by over 1.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,717
N/A
N/A
$10,459
Settled
No
kalshi

Hanshin Tigers wins by over 2.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,035
N/A
N/A
$1,035
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers the outcome of an NPB baseball game between the Hiroshima Carp and the Hanshin Tigers scheduled for August 15 at 5:00AM ET. The markets differ in their resolution criteria, with one focusing on the simple win condition and the other on run differentials.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The Polymarket market resolves on the outright winner of the game while the Kalshi market resolves on specific run differential thresholds, creating fundamentally different payout structures.Hero tip: Traders should treat these as separate bets. A Hiroshima Carp win might pay out on Polymarket but could be a No on Kalshi if they don't meet the run differential threshold, and vice versa.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the team that wins the game. If the game is postponed, the market remains open. If canceled or tied, it resolves 50-50. Key quote: "If the Hiroshima Carp win, the market will resolve to 'Hiroshima Carp'. If the Hanshin Tigers win, the market will resolve to 'Hanshin Tigers'"
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if any of the four run differential conditions are met (Carp win by >2.5 runs, Carp win by >1.5 runs, Tigers win by >1.5 runs, Tigers win by >2.5 runs). No other outcomes resolve to Yes. Key quote: "If the Hiroshima Toyo Carp win by more than 2.5 runs... then the market resolves to Yes"
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 15 at 5:00AM ET: If the Hiroshima Carp win, the market will resolve to "Hiroshima Carp". If the Hanshin Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Hanshin Tigers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The event covers four distinct outcome scenarios for the Hanshin Tigers vs Hiroshima Toyo Carp game scheduled for August 15, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT. Each scenario corresponds to a specific run differential victory condition: Hiroshima Toyo Carp winning by over 2.5 runs, Hiroshima Toyo Carp winning by over 1.5 runs, Hanshin Tigers winning by over 1.5 runs, and Hanshin Tigers winning by over 2.5 runs. The market resolves to 'Yes' for the respective scenario if the stated run differential condition is met. All markets are independent assessments and are not endorsed or affiliated with the Japan NPB league or its governing bodies; all trademarks and brand names remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Carp vs. Tigers matchup market aggregates real-time data from multiple prediction platforms, showing how traders price the chances of different outcomes. It tracks total volume of $20,352 and recent 24-hour volume of $20,117, letting you see where interest is concentrated. The view combines inputs from Polymarket and Kalshi, so you can spot trends and compare how each venue prices this market. This consolidated snapshot helps you gauge market sentiment and spot shifts ahead of the game.