TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Hiroshima Carp vs. Hanshin Tigers
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win Hiroshima Carp vs. Hanshin Tigers?

Volume:
$142,126

Hanshin Tigers

 - Kalshi

Hanshin Tigers - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 19, 2026

Closed: Jul 19, 8:24 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hanshin Tigers

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$96,427
N/A
N/A
$53,439
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hiroshima Toyo Carp

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$39,795
N/A
N/A
$24,068
Settled
No
polymarket

Hiroshima Carp vs. Hanshin Tigers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,903
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the outcome of a single NPB (Nippon Professional Baseball) game between the Hiroshima Carp and Hanshin Tigers scheduled for July 19, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. Both Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing the same underlying sporting event with identical timing and teams.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution criteria are incomplete, omitting explicit guidance on cancellation, postponement, and tie outcomes, while Polymarket provides full edge-case coverage. Additionally, Kalshi's Yes-on-either-outcome structure differs from Polymarket's team-name resolution format.Hero tip: Kalshi traders should seek clarification on cancellation and tie handling before committing capital. Polymarket traders should understand that a 50-50 split on cancellation or tie is a partial loss. Both platforms reference the same official NPB source, but Polymarket's resolution logic is more complete and trader-friendly.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the winning team name (Hiroshima Carp or Hanshin Tigers) on a decisive outcome. On cancellation with no makeup, indefinite postponement, or a tie, resolves 50-50. Primary source is official NPB information or credible reporting consensus. Key Quote: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either Hanshin Tigers or Hiroshima Toyo Carp wins. No explicit resolution logic for cancellation, postponement, or tie scenarios. Primary source is implied to be official NPB records. Key Quote: If Hanshin Tigers wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Hiroshima Toyo Carp wins... then the market resolves to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for July 19 at 5:00AM ET: If the Hiroshima Carp win, the market will resolve to "Hiroshima Carp". If the Hanshin Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Hanshin Tigers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

This event covers the Hanshin Tigers vs Hiroshima Toyo Carp Japan NPB game originally scheduled for July 19, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. Resolution depends on the final game outcome: if the Tigers win, that market resolves Yes; if the Carp win, that market resolves Yes. If the game is postponed or delayed, markets remain open and close after the rescheduled game finishes within two days. Games cancelled or rescheduled beyond two days resolve to a fair price per rules. Tied games resolve both markets to 50/50.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market pricing for the Hiroshima Carp vs. Hanshin Tigers matchup across Polymarket and Kalshi, allowing traders to monitor real-time odds on the game outcome. Both venues enable you to buy and sell shares tied to the result, with prices reflecting the collective forecast of active participants. The cross-platform view helps you spot pricing inefficiencies and track consensus sentiment as new information emerges. Total trading volume across both platforms provides insight into market conviction and liquidity depth for this event.

Prediction markets like those tracked here often diverge from traditional sportsbooks because they operate on different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets let traders freely set prices through supply and demand. This can result in sharper, more efficient pricing on prediction platforms, especially when informed participants actively trade. However, sportsbooks may incorporate real-time injury reports or late-breaking news faster. Comparing both sources helps you identify mispricings and validate your own view of the matchup.

Key injury announcements, lineup changes, or roster updates for either team can shift odds significantly. Recent performance trends, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage factors influence trader sentiment. Weather conditions on game day, umpire assignments, and late-breaking tactical decisions may also trigger repricing. Major news about team morale, coaching changes, or playoff implications can drive volume spikes and rapid price swings. Tracking team social media, official league communications, and sports media coverage will help you anticipate moves and time your trades strategically before resolution.