TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Hiroshima Carp vs. Chunichi Dragons
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Hiroshima Carp vs. Chunichi Dragons?

Volume:
$579,964

Yomiuri Giants

 - Kalshi

Yomiuri Giants - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 20, 2026

Closed: Aug 16, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Yomiuri Giants

View
100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$346,610
N/A
N/A
$224,420
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Hiroshima Carp vs. Chunichi Dragons

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,880
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chunichi Dragons

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$229,475
N/A
N/A
$165,446
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks whether the Hiroshima Carp will win their game against the Chunichi Dragons during the 2026 NPB season. The aggregated consensus probability from Kalshi and Polymarket shows the leading outcome at 99.5%. Resolution details and official rules are provided by https://npb.jp/. The key catalyst to monitor will be the game scheduled for August 20, 2026, which will determine the final settlement of this market according to Polymarket's specific guidelines.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: These markets resolve based on entirely different games (Hiroshima Carp vs Chunichi Dragons vs Yomiuri Giants vs Chunichi Dragons) with distinct resolution criteria.Hero tip: Do not assume correlation between these markets. A win by Chunichi Dragons against Yomiuri Giants does not affect the Hiroshima Carp vs Chunichi Dragons market outcome, and vice versa. Verify game dates and opponents before trading.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if Chunichi Dragons win the Yomiuri Giants vs Chunichi Dragons game on Aug 16, 2026. No specific resolution rules for other outcomes mentioned.
  • Polymarket: Resolves to Hiroshima Carp if they win, Chunichi Dragons if they win, 50-50 if canceled or tied, and remains open if postponed. Game scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 20 at 5:00AM ET: If the Hiroshima Carp win, the market will resolve to "Hiroshima Carp". If the Chunichi Dragons win, the market will resolve to "Chunichi Dragons". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the Yomiuri Giants vs Chunichi Dragons Japan NPB game scheduled for August 16, 2026. If Yomiuri Giants win, their market resolves to Yes; if Chunichi Dragons win, theirs resolves to Yes. In the event of a postponement or delay, the market remains open until the rescheduled game concludes, provided it occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond this window, the market resolves to a fair price. A tie results in a 50/50 resolution for both markets.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Carp vs. Dragons matchup market aggregates real-time data from multiple venues, showing how traders price the contest. It displays total volume of $579,964 and 24-hour volume of $577,934, letting you see where interest is concentrated. The view updates continuously, reflecting the latest consensus across platforms. This gives you a snapshot of market sentiment as the game approaches, with easy comparisons between the platforms that host this market.