TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest Domestically Grossing May Film on June 30?
polymarket

Highest Domestically Grossing May Film on June 30?

Volume:
$311,245

Obsession

 - Polymarket

Obsession - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 3, 2026

Closed: Jun 29, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Obsession

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.2¢
N/A
$70,748
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

The Devil Wears Prada 2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$172,327
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie A

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41,561
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

The Mandalorian and Grogu

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,037
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mortal Kombat II

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,572
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie B

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie D

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie G

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie H

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie I

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie K

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie F

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie E

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie C

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Movie J

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 16

Intro

This market tracks which film released in May 2026 will earn the highest domestic box office revenue through the end of June. The Devil Wears Prada 2 is currently priced at 94.0% on Polymarket. Resolution will be determined by Daily Box Office Performance data from The Numbers website, with the final tally measured on June 30, 2026. Watch for opening weekend performance and sustained box office legs through late June to see whether The Devil Wears Prada 2 maintains its commanding lead over competing May releases.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the title of the film released in May 2026 with the highest domestic gross between opening and June 30, 2026 according to "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by July 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Frequently asked questions

The market resolves on Jun 30, 2026. Resolution is determined by comparing the final domestic box office totals for all theatrical releases that opened in May, identifying which film achieved the highest cumulative gross. The outcome is settled based on verified box office data from authoritative industry sources. Traders should monitor final weekend grosses and any late-run performance adjustments in the weeks leading up to resolution to assess which May film will ultimately claim the top domestic box office position.

Key catalysts include weekly box office reports showing which May films are gaining or losing momentum, unexpected blockbuster performance or underperformance, and word-of-mouth sentiment shifts. Major events such as critical reviews, audience score changes on review aggregators, and international box office success can influence domestic projections. Competing May releases' performance trajectories, marketing campaign effectiveness, and holiday or seasonal viewing patterns will shape trader expectations. Additionally, any franchise announcements or casting news tied to May releases could alter market probabilities as traders reassess each film's competitive position and long-term earning potential.