TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 6, 5:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Hibernian and Shkendija Tetovo, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals the winning team scores beyond the opposing team's total at the end of regular time.
The event evaluates different goal-differential thresholds for determining a resolution. If Hibernian wins by more than 2.5 goals, that specific market resolves to Yes. If Hibernian wins by more than 1.5 goals (but not exceeding 2.5), that market resolves to Yes. Similarly, if Shkendija Tetovo wins by more than 1.5 goals, that outcome resolves to Yes, and if their victory margin exceeds 2.5 goals, the corresponding market resolves positively. All resolutions are based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. The event is unaffiliated with official league governance, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more nuanced view of probabilities compared to traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks may set their spreads based on broader public betting patterns and adjusted margins, prediction markets let participants directly bet on their own assessments of the likely goal difference. This can lead to tighter or divergent pricing, especially as game-specific news — like injuries or weather updates — influences trader behavior.
This market resolves around Aug 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final goal difference between Hibernian and Shkendija will be compared against the defined spread, and the market will settle accordingly based on that result.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions affecting gameplay, and tactical changes by coaches can all shift trader expectations and move this market. Additionally, early goals or significant momentum swings during the match may cause rapid price adjustments. Any news that alters the perceived likelihood of the goal difference will influence how participants price this market in the days and moments leading up to Aug 6, 2026.