TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 5:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This event assesses the margin of victory in the Hibernian versus Heart of Midlothian match, focusing on whether either team secures a decisive win. The outcome will highlight the dominance or closeness of the contest, influenced by team performance and tactical decisions throughout the game.
Markets resolve based on the goal differential if Hibernian or Heart of Midlothian wins the match scheduled for September 3, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. A market resolves to 'Yes' if Hibernian wins by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or if Heart of Midlothian wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. The secondary rule states that Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the unique dynamics of crowd-sourced forecasting. While sportsbooks set their lines based on sharp handicappers and internal models, prediction markets reflect the collective wisdom of participating traders. This can lead to tighter spreads or different favorite statuses, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts in the days leading up to the match.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the price through their bids and offers, which determines the current implied probability for each possible spread outcome. The market price adjusts constantly based on trading volume and recent bets, capturing the real-time expectations of participants about the likely margin of victory. This decentralized pricing mechanism allows for rapid shifts in odds as new data or sentiment influences bettors.
This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread is determined by the official match result and the goal differential between the two teams when the game concludes. Traders will see their positions settle automatically based on this verified result shortly after the match ends.
Injuries to key players, changes in team form, weather conditions, and tactical announcements can all shift this market in the days before the match. Additionally, early betting trends on Kalshi or significant movements in related sportsbook lines may influence trader sentiment. As new information emerges, participants will adjust their positions, potentially causing noticeable swings in the implied probabilities for different spread outcomes.