This event group covers the Scottish Premiership match between Hibernian FC and St Mirren FC scheduled for February 14, 2026. Markets are offered on Kalshi and Polymarket, with overlapping coverage of the three possible outcomes (Hibernian win, St Mirren win, or draw) within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms use identical time windows (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties) and reference the same match date and official source (SPFL). The three mutually exclusive outcomes are consistently defined across both platforms.
Primary resolution logic:
Scottish Professional Football League (SPFL) official match records at spfl.co.uk
Core resolution logic:
Resolution is based on the official match result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution
Three mutually exclusive outcomes are recognized: Hibernian FC win, St Mirren FC win, or draw
Match must be completed for standard resolution; postponed matches remain open until completion
If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game, Polymarket draw market resolves Yes and win markets resolve No; Kalshi structure requires match completion
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Postponement: Both platforms keep markets open until the match is completed on a rescheduled date
Cancellation without makeup: Polymarket draw market resolves Yes; Polymarket win markets resolve No. Kalshi's all-inclusive structure does not explicitly address this scenario but implies no resolution without a completed match
Extra time or penalties: Explicitly excluded from resolution; only the 90-minute result plus stoppage time counts
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the match concludes on February 14, 2026, or on the rescheduled date if postponed
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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