TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 3:25 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Scottish Premiership game between Hibernian FC and Motherwell FC, scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Hibernian FC" if Hibernian FC score more goals than Motherwell FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Hibernian FC and Motherwell FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Motherwell FC" if Motherwell FC score more goals than Hibernian FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Scottish Premiership game between Hibernian FC and Motherwell FC, scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Hibernian FC" if Hibernian FC score more goals than Motherwell FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Hibernian FC and Motherwell FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Motherwell FC" if Motherwell FC score more goals than Hibernian FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders risking real capital on outcomes they believe will occur. This market aggregates dispersed information from participants who have skin in the game, sometimes surfacing insights that sportsbooks haven't yet priced in. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value, though both should be viewed as estimates rather than certainties.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader activity into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, the price adjusts continuously to reflect the current probability. The top outcome currently reflects strong conviction among participants. Prices move based on order flow, so significant trades or breaking news can shift the odds rapidly. This mechanism ensures the market stays responsive and allows you to enter or exit positions at transparent, algorithmically determined prices throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, once the Hibernian versus Motherwell match concludes and the second half result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome will be determined by the official final score recorded for the second half only, independent of the first half. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle as the result is confirmed through standard sports reporting channels. Traders should monitor official match updates to anticipate when the market will settle and positions will be finalized.
Several factors could shift odds before the match kicks off and during the first half. Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced closer to kickoff—often triggers repricing as traders reassess competitive balance. Early first-half momentum, goals, or red cards will influence how traders expect the second half to unfold, potentially moving odds significantly. Betting syndicates or sharp money entering the market can also cause rapid repricing. Weather conditions, venue factors, and any last-minute tactical adjustments communicated by either side may prompt traders to adjust their positions as new information emerges.