TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 3:25 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Scottish Premiership game, scheduled for August 2 at 11:30 AM ET.
More markets for the Scottish Premiership game, scheduled for August 2 at 11:30 AM ET.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin; prediction markets are driven by trader consensus and real-money conviction. For this market, comparing the implied probability on Polymarket against major sportsbook lines can reveal where professional bettors and retail traders disagree. Significant gaps may signal mispricing or emerging information not yet reflected across all venues.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on the ratio of shares bought and sold for each outcome. As traders deposit capital and place orders, the price of each outcome shifts in real time. The platform's transparent order book allows you to see depth and recent trades, making it easy to spot momentum or sudden shifts in conviction around the match result.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the final score and any official match records published by the relevant football authorities. Until that point, traders can adjust positions as new information emerges—team news, injuries, or betting patterns—allowing the market price to evolve right up to kickoff and throughout the fixture.
Key catalysts include team news such as player injuries, suspensions, or lineup announcements that shift perceived strength. Recent form, head-to-head history, and league standings can trigger repricing as traders reassess probabilities. Weather conditions, venue factors, and late-breaking tactical changes may also influence odds. Social media sentiment, expert analysis, and sharp money flowing into one side can accelerate price movement, especially in the final hours before kickoff when information asymmetry narrows and the market converges toward consensus.