TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 3:28 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Hibernian FC and Motherwell FC, scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Hibernian FC" if Hibernian FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Motherwell FC" if Motherwell FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Hibernian FC and Motherwell FC, scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Hibernian FC" if Hibernian FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Motherwell FC" if Motherwell FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and profit margin, while prediction markets aggregate the collective belief of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market aggregates trader conviction without a built-in house edge, which can yield sharper pricing on niche events. Comparing the implied probability here to major sportsbook lines on the same match can reveal where professional and retail traders disagree on which team is favored to score first.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome—such as Hibernian FC scoring first or Motherwell FC scoring first—has its own contract, and the price of each reflects the cumulative position of all traders. As more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises and the competing outcome falls, creating a dynamic equilibrium that updates continuously until the market resolves.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, once the match between Hibernian FC and Motherwell FC is complete and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal during regulation time. Once the event concludes and the first goalscorer is confirmed, the winning outcome pays out in full and all other positions expire worthless.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star strikers or defensive changes, recent form and head-to-head records, and tactical adjustments announced before kickoff. Weather conditions on match day, home-field advantage, and historical scoring patterns in this fixture can all shift trader positioning. As the match approaches, any official lineup announcements or late-breaking injury reports typically trigger sharp repricing. Live match momentum—early chances, possession dominance, or defensive lapses—will drive final price adjustments in the minutes before the opening goal is scored.