This event group covers a Scottish Premiership soccer match between Hibernian FC and Livingston FC scheduled for March 14, 2026. Three markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the outcome: Hibernian win, draw, and Livingston win, each resolving based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution logic: match outcome determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, same official source hierarchy, and consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Scottish Premier League (SPFL) statistics as recognized by the governing body; credible reporting consensus if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
Match outcome resolved based on score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded.
Hibernian win market resolves Yes if Hibernian scores more goals; No otherwise or if match canceled with no make-up.
Draw market resolves Yes if both teams have equal goals after 90+stoppage; Yes if match canceled with no make-up game.
Livingston win market resolves Yes if Livingston scores more goals; No otherwise or if match canceled with no make-up.
Postponed matches remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed.
If match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, win markets resolve No and draw market resolves Yes.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is played and completed.
Cancellation without make-up: If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Hibernian win and Livingston win markets resolve No; draw market resolves Yes.
Official statistics delay: If SPFL or governing body does not publish final statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution may use consensus of credible reporting sources.
Scope of play: Resolution is based only on the outcome within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts are not considered.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time). Official statistics are expected within 2 hours of match conclusion. Markets resolve on or shortly after the official result is confirmed by SPFL or governing body.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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