TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 1, 6:30 PM EST
Kalshi
HFX and Ottawa compete in a Canadian Premier League professional soccer match on July 1, 2026. The result will be determined by the score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, not including extra time or penalty shootouts.
Resolution is based on the final result of the HFX vs Ottawa professional Canadian Premier League soccer game originally scheduled for July 1, 2026, evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). The event encompasses three possible outcomes: a win for HFX, a win for Ottawa, or a tie. If the match ends in a draw, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away from the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with established rules.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets let traders freely price outcomes based on their beliefs. This market may show higher or lower implied probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, depending on whether informed traders see value that bookmakers have missed. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential edges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective assessment of all active traders, updating in real time as new trades execute. Shares trade between 0 and 100 cents, with the price directly representing the implied probability. Liquidity and trading volume determine how easily you can enter or exit a position at the current market price.
This market resolves around Jul 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning shares will be determined by the final result of the matchup, verified against authoritative sports sources. Until resolution, prices may fluctuate based on team news, injuries, betting trends, and other factors that traders believe will influence the game. After the event concludes and the outcome is official, the market will settle and shares will be redeemed at their final value.
Key player injuries, roster changes, or team announcements can significantly shift odds as traders reassess competitive balance. Recent form, head-to-head records, and lineup adjustments often trigger repricing. Weather conditions, venue factors, and betting line movements from major sportsbooks may also influence trader sentiment. Media coverage and expert analysis can sway perception, while sharp money flowing into one side may signal informed conviction. Monitor team news and injury reports closely, as late-breaking developments frequently drive volatile price swings in the final days before kickoff.