TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 24, 8:32 PM EST
Kalshi
This market resolves Yes if both HFX and FC Supra Du Quebec score at least one goal each during the Canadian Premier League match scheduled for July 24, 2026. The resolution is based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout.
If HFX and FC Supra Du Quebec both score a goal in the HFX vs FC Supra Du Quebec Canadian Premier League match originally scheduled for Jul 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction markets and sportsbooks price the same event differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. On this market, traders are directly exposed to the outcome, creating pressure to price accurately rather than defensively. Comparing BTTS odds across both venues can reveal mispricings: if prediction market probability diverges significantly from sportsbook implied probability, it may signal where informed traders see edge. Many bettors monitor both to identify arbitrage or value plays.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book matching, where traders submit buy and sell orders that execute when counterparties agree on a price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price itself represents the collective probability estimate: a contract trading at 65 cents implies roughly 65% chance both teams score. Liquidity and trading volume directly influence how tight the bid-ask spread remains and how quickly large orders execute. As match day approaches, new information—team news, weather, injury reports—typically drives repricing as traders update their beliefs and adjust positions accordingly.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, once the HFX versus FC Supra Du Quebec match concludes and the final score is verified. The outcome is confirmed when credible public sources report whether both teams scored at least one goal each. If both teams find the net, the BTTS outcome resolves to yes; if either team fails to score, it resolves to no. Traders holding positions at resolution receive payouts based on the confirmed result. Early closure or postponement rules are governed by the platform's standard sports market policies.
Team news—injuries to key forwards or defensive players—typically shifts BTTS odds significantly, since scoring ability and defensive solidity are central to the outcome. Weather conditions, pitch quality, and venue factors can also influence goal-scoring patterns. Lineup announcements closer to kickoff often trigger sharp repricing as traders gain clarity on actual starting formations. Recent form, head-to-head history, and any tactical adjustments by either manager may prompt position adjustments. As match time nears, late-breaking developments like unexpected absences or weather warnings can create volatility, offering active traders opportunities to adjust exposure before the final whistle.