TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 24, 8:31 PM EST
Kalshi
HFX and FC Supra Du Quebec face off in a Canadian Premier League professional soccer match on July 24, 2026. The result is determined by the score after 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time, not including extra time or penalties.
Resolution is based on the final score of the HFX vs FC Supra Du Quebec professional Canadian Premier League soccer game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each outcome—HFX win, FC Supra Du Quebec win, or tie—resolves to Yes if that result occurs. If the game ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. For this market, comparing the implied probability here to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether one venue perceives an edge the other has missed. Prediction markets tend to be efficient at incorporating public information, making them a useful benchmark for spotting value or consensus shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The contract price directly reflects the implied probability; a contract trading at 43 cents means the market assigns roughly a 43% chance to that outcome. Prices update in real time as new orders flow in, allowing participants to enter or exit positions at transparent, market-determined rates. Volume and bid-ask spreads indicate liquidity and the ease of executing trades at any given moment.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the final score and official match records, ensuring clarity and fairness for all traders. Until that date, prices will fluctuate based on team form, injury updates, and other factors that shift expectations. Early resolution is unlikely unless the match is postponed or cancelled under extraordinary circumstances.
Key player injuries, lineup announcements, and recent team performance will likely drive price swings in the coming weeks. Unexpected roster changes, coaching decisions, or weather conditions on match day can also shift trader conviction. Media coverage and expert commentary may influence retail participation, while sharp bettors often react quickly to breaking news before consensus catches up. Head-to-head records, home-field advantage, and league standings provide ongoing context that traders monitor. As the match date approaches, final team confirmations and last-minute tactical adjustments typically generate the most volatile trading activity.