TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Hertha BSC vs. VfL Bochum
Volume:
$53,789
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A Bundesliga 2 (German second division) soccer match between Hertha BSC and VfL Bochum scheduled for March 14, 2026. This event group contains three related prediction markets covering the three possible outcomes: Hertha win, draw, or Bochum win, all evaluated on the basis of the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market has a unique cancellation rule (resolves YES if game canceled with no make-up) that contradicts the win markets (resolve NO under same condition). Kalshi's cancellation handling is undefined, creating ambiguity across platforms.Hero Tip:
Monitor for any game cancellation announcements. If a cancellation with no make-up occurs, Polymarket traders should expect the draw market to resolve YES while Hertha and Bochum win markets resolve NO. Kalshi's behavior in this scenario is unclear and should be confirmed directly with the platform before the event date.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets covering all outcomes. Draw market uniquely resolves YES on cancellation with no make-up game, while Hertha win and Bochum win markets resolve NO under identical cancellation scenario. Quote: Draw market states 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "Yes"' while win markets state 'this market will resolve "No"'.
- Kalshi: Single market with three mutually exclusive outcomes (Bochum win, Tie, Hertha win). No explicit cancellation clause provided in source data. Implies one outcome must resolve YES, but the resolution path if the game is canceled or postponed indefinitely is not specified.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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