TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Hertha BSC vs. Hannover 96
Volume:
$251,867
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional Bundesliga 2 soccer match between Hertha BSC and Hannover 96 scheduled for February 14, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess the outcome (win/loss/draw) based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure is logically incoherent: all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Hannover win, Tie, Hertha win) are mapped to Yes, making the market non-binary and impossible to resolve. Polymarket uses standard binary logic across three separate markets.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form. The resolution logic is broken—every possible match outcome would resolve to Yes. Use Polymarket's three binary markets as the reliable settlement framework. Request Kalshi to clarify whether this should be a categorical (three-way) market or correct the Yes/No mappings.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Market structure maps all three possible outcomes to Yes. Hannover win = Yes, Tie = Yes, Hertha win = Yes. This creates a logical contradiction where every outcome resolves identically, rendering the market unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes. Draw market: Yes if draw, No otherwise. Hannover win market: Yes if Hannover wins, No otherwise. Hertha win market: Yes if Hertha wins, No otherwise. All reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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