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Hertha BSC vs. Hannover 96
kalshi
polymarket

Hertha BSC vs. Hannover 96

Volume:
$251,867

Hannover

 - Kalshi

Hannover - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 14, 2026

Closed: Feb 14, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hannover

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
-$9,726
$60,870
N/A
N/A
$48,469
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hertha

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$11,123
$18,706
N/A
N/A
$14,895
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$5,573
$17,022
N/A
N/A
$11,768
Settled
No
polymarket

Hannover 96

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$109,524
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Hertha BSC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,969
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Draw (Hertha BSC vs. Hannover 96)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,777
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the professional Bundesliga 2 soccer match between Hertha BSC and Hannover 96 scheduled for February 14, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess the outcome (win/loss/draw) based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market structure is logically incoherent: all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Hannover win, Tie, Hertha win) are mapped to Yes, making the market non-binary and impossible to resolve. Polymarket uses standard binary logic across three separate markets.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form. The resolution logic is broken—every possible match outcome would resolve to Yes. Use Polymarket's three binary markets as the reliable settlement framework. Request Kalshi to clarify whether this should be a categorical (three-way) market or correct the Yes/No mappings.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Market structure maps all three possible outcomes to Yes. Hannover win = Yes, Tie = Yes, Hertha win = Yes. This creates a logical contradiction where every outcome resolves identically, rendering the market unresolvable.
  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes. Draw market: Yes if draw, No otherwise. Hannover win market: Yes if Hannover wins, No otherwise. Hertha win market: Yes if Hertha wins, No otherwise. All reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.